Israel Shatters Turnout Records in Election Deciding Netanyahu's Fate

Israelis turned out in historic numbers Tuesday in a national election widely viewed as a verdict on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership since the Oct. 7, 2023, attack and the wars that followed.

According to Israel’s Central Elections Committee, 55.7% of eligible voters had cast ballots within the first nine hours of voting, a record by that point in the day, Reuters reported. The Times of Israel said in a post on X that the 4 p.m. figure was up from 47.5% at the same time in the 2022 election, and that hourly figures have been measured since 1973.

The pace kept climbing into the evening. The Jewish Telegraphic Agency reported that about 66.7% of eligible voters had cast ballots by 6 p.m., which it said was the highest turnout the Central Elections Committee has recorded since it began tracking the figure.

A Referendum on Wartime Leadership

Reuters reported that long lines formed outside polling stations for the first election since the Oct. 7 attack, with voters describing it as the most consequential vote in the nation’s history. Al Jazeera, citing the Central Elections Committee, reported that turnout by 2 p.m. was the highest at that hour in 50 years.

Mitchell Barak, a pollster and former Netanyahu aide, told Al Jazeera that turnout “is really high and that’s good,” and predicted it could pass the historic peak set in 1973, when Israel was also at war.

Fox News correspondent Trey Yingst, reporting from Tel Aviv, said security is front and center for voters, from the aftermath of the Oct. 7 massacre to the ongoing conflict with Iran, according to a Fox News post on X. Fox News also noted that forming a new government could take weeks even after results come in.

Netanyahu Urges His Base to the Polls

Netanyahu, who faces an opposition push led by Gadi Eisenkot, urged supporters to vote in a message more than five hours after polls opened, Al Jazeera reported.

Netanyahu also warned that turnout was running high on the left and among Arab voters, according to Al Jazeera. “We need it to be high too. You all need to stream to the polls,” he said, according to Al Jazeera.

Al Jazeera reported that the Association for Civil Rights in Israel filed a complaint with the election committee over voting delays reported in at least 18 communities, asking it to investigate whether the delays were deliberate. Israeli officials attributed long lines at several polling stations to the high turnout, according to Al Jazeera.

What Comes Next

Reuters reported that forecasters were hesitant to predict how the strong turnout would affect the result. According to Reuters, a surge in votes from Arab citizens could limit gains for Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition while raising the odds that any government formed to replace him would need Arab parties’ support.

Both Netanyahu and Eisenkot have ruled out partnering with Arab parties, Al Jazeera reported.

Results are expected overnight, but as Fox News noted, the coalition talks that decide who actually governs Israel could stretch on for weeks.

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Daily Beltway
Tom McCullaghhttps://dailybeltway.com
Tom is a credentialed White House correspondent and the founder and editor of Daily Beltway, an independent news outlet covering the White House, Congress and federal policy from a conservative perspective. He reports from the White House and Capitol Hill and writes daily analysis of administration actions, congressional votes and federal agency decisions. Daily Beltway is independently owned and operated, with no corporate or party ownership. Contact: tom@dailybeltway.com

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