Roy Cooper Flips North Carolina Senate Seat, Defeating Whatley

Democrats picked up their first Senate seat of election night on Tuesday as former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper defeated Republican Michael Whatley for the open seat being vacated by retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, according to projections from the Fox News Decision Desk, ABC News, NBC News and the Associated Press.

The Fox News Decision Desk announced its projection in a post on X shortly after 7:30 p.m. Central, saying Cooper “will flip North Carolina’s open Senate seat to the Democrats.” ABC News issued the same projection minutes later, and NPR reported that the Associated Press had also called the race for Cooper.

The win makes Cooper the first Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from North Carolina since 2008, according to NPR and NBC News. Early returns showed a wide margin. With roughly 62% of the expected vote counted, Cooper held about 64.5% to Whatley’s 33.8%, according to vote tallies compiled by Exa’s election results page, though those numbers will shift as more ballots are reported.

A race Republicans once targeted

The contest was initially expected to be one of the most competitive and expensive Senate races in the country, NPR reported, but Whatley never led in public polling and Cooper’s lead widened over the course of the campaign. NBC News reported that a top Republican super PAC canceled its ad spending in North Carolina in the closing weeks to focus on protecting seats in more conservative territory. NPR reported that national GOP groups redirected money to other battlegrounds such as Kansas.

Whatley, a former chairman of both the North Carolina Republican Party and the Republican National Committee, was making his first run for elected office, according to NBC News. NPR reported that President Donald Trump picked Whatley for the race, and NBC News reported that Trump and Vice President JD Vance rallied with him several times down the stretch. Whatley’s campaign centered on crime and immigration, according to NPR.

Cooper, who served two terms as governor from 2017 to 2024, ran almost entirely on cost of living, according to NBC News, promoting his stops across the state as a “Make Stuff Cost Less” tour, NPR reported. NPR also reported that Cooper and national Democratic groups significantly outspent Whatley and his Republican allies.

Even Trump signaled the race was slipping away. At an October rally in the state, Trump said of Cooper, “He’s going to become your senator,” according to NBC News.

What it means for Senate control

The North Carolina flip narrows the path for Republicans to hold their majority, but it does not decide it. NBC News reported that Democrats must gain a net of four seats to win control of the Senate. Earlier Tuesday night, Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff held his Georgia seat against Republican Rep. Mike Collins, according to projections from Fox News, ABC News and CBS News. As of about 7:30 p.m. Central, CBS News reported that 28 Senate races were still uncalled.

For Republicans, the North Carolina result is a warning about midterm headwinds. NBC News noted that this was the first midterm Senate race in North Carolina with Trump in the White House, a setting that has historically favored the party out of power. The GOP’s remaining path now runs through the races still being counted, and the final balance of the chamber may not be known until later tonight or beyond.

Daily Beltway will keep tracking the Senate map as more states are called.

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Daily Beltway
Tom Mc.https://dailybeltway.com
Tom Mc. is a credentialed White House correspondent and the founder and editor of Daily Beltway, an independent news outlet covering the White House, Congress and federal policy from a conservative perspective. He reports from the White House and Capitol Hill and writes daily analysis of administration actions, congressional votes and federal agency decisions. Daily Beltway is independently owned and operated by its founder, with no parent company and no corporate or party ownership. Corrections and editorial questions: tom@dailybeltway.com.

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